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October 2024 pv.index

General price decline continues amid steady demand in the European solar market

In October, the PV Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slightly declined, settling back to 68, which matches the level from August. This decrease comes after a brief uptick in September, indicating a cautious approach as the industry moves towards year-end. Buyers are adjusting their purchasing plans with the season’s end in sight, yet confidence remains relatively stable, with 50% of respondents planning to increase their orders, 37% intending to maintain current levels, and only 13% anticipating a reduction. This steady demand outlook suggests that, despite price fluctuations, optimism persists across Europe’s solar market.

This confidence reflects resilience in the European PV market, even as the sector contends with seasonal and economic factors. As noted by Krzysztof Rejek, Head of Business Development at sun.store: „The stable PMI at 68 shows that the demand for solar components remains strong, yet slighltly decreasing versus previous months. Seasonal factors, coupled with a reduction in installation activities as winter approaches, have influenced purchasing behavior. However, the industry is still vibrant, and we’re seeing a steady demand for high-quality components.“

The PV Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slightly declined in October 2024.

sun.store

The PV Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slightly declined in October 2024.

Panel and inverter pricing

Panel prices show mixed trends. October continued the downward price trend across most PV panel categories. Notably:

Monofacial modules:

N-type: prices fell by 15%, landing at €0.098/Wp, down from last month’s €0.105/Wp, as oversupply persists.

P-type: prices for P-type modules showed a modest decrease of 1%, now at €0.090/Wp, compared to €0.091/Wp in September, suggesting relative price stability in this segment.

Bifacial modules:

N-type: modules saw a notable 10% drop, reaching €0.103/Wp, down from €0.114/Wp in September, indicative of competitive pressures and market saturation.

P-type: sample size was too limited to determine a conclusive trend this month.

Full black modules:

Full black modules experienced a price decline of 9%, moving to €0.099/Wp, compared to €0.109/Wp last month, reflecting a steady oversupply and competition among suppliers.

PV inverters prices in October 2024.

sun.store

PV inverters prices in October 2024.

Inverter prices reveal nuanced shifts

For the first time inverters are included in the pv.index. “We’re excited to introduce a more detailed breakdown in the inverter market”, Agata Krawiec-Rokita, CEO of sun.store, commented.

Hybrid Inverters:

 <15kW: Prices have decreased by 7% over the last three months, from €128/kW to €119.25/kW. This reduction aligns with slightly lower-than-expected demand for residential installations, coupled with constant oversupply, prompting suppliers to adjust prices for smaller capacity units.

15+ kW: Larger hybrid inverters experienced a 5% price drop between August and September, stabilizing in autumn (September to October) with a slight 1% increase to €90.69/kW, up from €90.18/kW last month. This increase reflects a shift towards premium brands, such as Huawei, indicating a preference for high-quality products in larger-scale projects.

On-grid Inverters:

<15kW: A 13% drop in string inverters for residential use shows both a shift to hybrid options and downward pricing trends in the residential segment. The average price for smaller on-grid inverters fell by 2%, reaching €67.85/kW from €69.21/kW in September, suggesting a price recalibration as the market stabilizes following the summer peak.

15+ kW: Inverters over 15 kW in the on-grid category experienced a 2% rise, with prices increasing to €27.11/kW from €26.49/kW. As with hybrid inverters, this increase is largely driven by a preference for higher-performance brands, reinforcing the trend toward premium choices in larger installations.

Krzysztof Rejek, Head of Business Development at sun.store, comments on the current pricing dynamics: „The trend of module stock devaluation continues with sellers trying to increase their sales figures. We expect for that situation to remain actual especially due to upcoming Black Friday promotions and year-end clearances. This trend allows buyers to secure top-quality components much below regular costs, fueling demand and opening up new opportunities for projects across Europe. We anticipate these attractive prices will continue, providing a unique chance for our users to capitalize on some of the best deals of the year.“

Also see: Battery revenues forecast to rebound in 2026

October's most preferred brands

In terms of brand preference, Jinko Solar dominated across all panel categories (Monofacial, Bifacial, and Full Black), continuing its streak as a top choice among sun.store users. For inverters, Solis emerged as the preferred brand for systems under 15kW, while Sungrow led in the 15+ kW category, demonstrating a strong demand for reliable, high-performance equipment in larger installations.

Also see: “A company cannot be on hold for a year”

About – pv.index & The PV Purchasing Managers' Index (PV PMI)

pv.index traces current trading prices for solar components on a monthly basis. Data is recorded on sun.store, a online PV trading platform with 7.8 GW+ of components on offer. Trading prices are weighted by the power of components involved in the transactions to arrive at a reliable estimate for the whole market.

The PV Purchasing Managers' Index (PV PMI) is a measure indicating the overall sentiment towards the demand in the PV industry. PV PMI shows whether demand is expected to expand (above 50), remain stable, or contract (below 50), as perceived by purchasing managers.

The PV PMI was calculated as: PMI = (P1 * 1) + (P2 * 0.5) + (P3 * 0), where: P1 = percentage of answers reporting an improvement, P2 = percentage of answers reporting no change, P3 = percentage of answers reporting a deterioration. Survey is based on a sample of 800+ sun.store buyers. (hcn)