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Fastest expected transition to renewables in the world

Australia is headed towards achieving the fastest energy transition to renewable sources in the world despite challenges such as bushfires and a halt in construction activities due to Covid-19. The country’s declining cost of distributed energy resources, variable energy, and the willingness to provide cheap electricity to its consumers will be strong underlying catalysts for the roadmap towards achieving a generation mix with 94 per cent renewables by 2040, and the country’s strong pipeline of solar and wind projects will bring investor confidence in the bankability of the market, according to recent analysis by GlobalData.

Somik Das, Senior Power Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “Australia currently has a strong renewable pipeline of 102GW, comprising of projects in nascent and advanced stages. Out of this, 102GW of wind and solar PV represent almost 90 per cent of the pipeline. The government has put the final nail in the coffin for coal-fired power plants, having no plans to continue coal and gas generators beyond the planned retirement dates. In fact, there is potential for coal and gas generators to retire earlier if renewables provide greater cost benefits before the 2040 horizon.”

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Globaldata notes that solar PV will spearhead installations this year followed by wind power. Solar PV and wind are anticipated to represent over 25 per cent of the total installations this year, compared to 24 per cent shaped last year.

Das continued: “The steep reduction in module costs, improved efficiency, and low power purchase agreements (PPA) have placed solar PV next to wind as green transformation flag bearers. The proposed energy transition would mean expansion in energy storage and investment towards building and improving the grid infrastructure to support the renewable expansion of this scale.” (mfo)